This week we’re taking a look at AZ-06, a district held by Democrats for several cycles until Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick retired in 2022.
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For the third time, Republican Congressman Mike Garcia is about to face off against a Democrat in a Southern Californian district (CA-27) that favors Democrats in both registration share and partisan preference. Can he beat the odds and get reelected yet again, or will the Democratic nominee this time — George Whitesides — motivate the district’s voters to finally oust Garcia?
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This week we’re taking a look at the NY-04, which is located in affluent southern Long Island in New York and includes the towns of Hempstead, Mineola, Oceanside, Woodmere, and Long Beach. Republican Anthony D’Esposito is the district’s current representative. This race is yet another rematch of 2022.
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This week we turn to New York, where progressives are mounting a strong challenge to unseat several Republican incumbents in toss-ups and seats that lean Democratic. In New York’s 17th congressional district, located in the southern portion of the state, Mondaire Jones is trying to return to Congress.
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This week we take a look at the race in Arizona’s 1st congressional district where incumbent Republican David Schweikert will defend his seat against the Democratic nominee in November. The AZ primary will be held on July 30.
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This week we focus on a district race in the Lone Star state where Democrats are fighting to turn the state a little less Red with each electoral cycle. The TX-15 district includes a thin strip of the far south of Texas.
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This week we’re looking at the CA-45 race in Southern California between Republican incumbent Michelle Steel and her Democratic challenger Derek Tran. This is considered one of the most hotly contested races nationally. The district includes parts of Orange County as well as a small part of Los Angeles County and is home to one of the nation’s highest concentrations of Asian Americans.
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This week we feature yet another California rematch. In this newly draw CA-13, in the San Joaquin Valley, incumbent freshman John Duarte (GOP) faces challenger and Democrat Adam Gray in this district that was newly drawn after the 2020 Census redistricting process.
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This week we’re looking at another California rematch: in CA-22. Democrat Rudy Salas is back for another shot at this House seat held by incumbent Republican Rep. David Valadao in this highly competitive district, one with a long history of bouncing back and forth between the two parties. Redistricting has changed the regions included in this district, which is located in the San Joaquin Valley, yet it remains a toss-up.
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In 2022, we identified the CA-41 in Riverside County in Southern California as a flippable district in the 2022 midterm election, and continued to do so in the 2024 rematch between incumbent Republican Ken Calvert and the Dem challenger, Will Rollins, despite Rollins’ 2022 loss by over 11,000 votes (4.6 percentage points) out of over 239,000 votes cast.
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