Beyond the Polls: What It Takes to Flip a House Seat

In this Episode:

Election Day is 40 days away.

Political Director of the California Donor Table Michael Gomez Daly discusses the upcoming midterms and the 862 votes that defied political consultants polling data and flipped a long-held Republican seat in California’s Central Valley during the 2018 election. 

He shares what that race can teach us about organizing in 2026, the limits of voter-propensity models, and why local, relationship-based organizing still matters in an era of increasingly sophisticated campaign data.

REFERENCES:

California Donor Table

California Donor Table LinkedIn

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Beyond the Polls: Reading the 2026 Electorate—with Tom Bonier